Last night my teams were doing good until I saw Lebron James sprained his finger in the second quarter and never came back. That little injury totally ruined my chances of winning any matches last night. I spent 50 points on him and he only produced 19 fantasy points due to his injury. You can predict injuries and when they happen I look at it like taking a bad beat in poker.
Long term I think taking Lebron James every night is right play. Sometimes he won’t perform or get injured but over lots of games his true value should show. The same sort of thing happens in poker. You might be a huge favorite on the flop by 90% but you will still lose 10% of the time. It won’t happen much but it will happen.
Bad beats in fantasy sports is why you need to use proper bankroll management. I started with a $45 bankroll so I need to play low buy ins to over come the variance. I’ve played a few $10 bu yins which was very stupid. I will try to stick to $5 and below so I don’t lose most of my bankroll on one bad game.